Packers vs Bills Preview
Even with our offensive performance last week and the loss of Ryan Grant, it’s still a great week to be a Packers fan. Look at some of the other teams and fan bases around the league; Dallas, Minnesota, the Jets, Indy, San Diego and San Francisco. All of the build up, the expectations, the HBO specials and they all stunk in more ways than one and are all sitting at 0-1. We’ll take 1-0 and a 13 point spread in the home opener against a team with no expectations of success.
Stats of the Week
1) The Packers are the only NFC team to win their last four season openers
2) Under McCarthy, the Packers are 5-0 in their opening road game of the season
3) In week 1, the Bills had 166 total yards and never visited the red zone
4) The Packers joined the Ravens and Bears as the only teams to win with a negative turnover margin in week 1.
Keys to the Game
1) Keep the Flags Hidden– The Packers, flagged often in the McCarthy era, saw only two penalties against them in Philadelphia Sunday. In contrast, the Eagles were hit for 10 penalties for 80 yards. Hopefully the two turnovers were a fluke and the flag-free football was a trend. The Packers shouldn’t have to cheat to win Sunday.
2) Don’t Bring a Knife to a Gun Fight– The Bills offense was brutal. 23:07 of offensive possession, 166 yards, a stable of running backs who managed 50 yds rushing, and a quarterback who looked like he showed up at the wrong party. There is no way the Packers’ defense should let the Bills breath. This is a complete mismatch…on paper.
3) Welcome to the Show Mr. Jackson– My guess is the Packers are going to get Brandon Jackson involved immediately Sunday. I’m thinking a couple runs and a screen pass right off the bat. Get him going early so he’s in the flow of the game. 22-25 touches for Jackson.
4) The Pick to Click– The Packers O is in for a big day. Perfect weather, home-field, and a chance to get the swagger back. I’m expecting a quick six-play drive and Rodgers TD pass to Finley to start out the afternoon and keep rolling from there.
5) Home, Home on the Range– Like Bill Simmons said in his post this week, “Super Bowl contenders blow out crummy teams at home.” Not much else to say on this one.
Prediction: Green Bay 44 Buffalo 9
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